Biggest ever FA cup giant killing

4evaabaggie · 07-01-2022, 13:35

Just seen on the internet an article about the top ten FA cup giant killings.

This was based on matches over the last fifty years, apparently due to lack of data and format changes preventing going back further. They used league positions, mathematics, probability.

The winning game with odds of nearly 16 million to 1 was:-

No surprise to older baggies

1991 West Brom 2 Woking 4

The odds were made greater because Albion took the lead and lead 1 - 0 at half time, before a momentous second half collapse saw us concede 3 goals in eleven minutes, we then went 4 - 1 down in the dying minutes before a late consolation made it slightly less embarrassing. I was there, I remember a static Albion back line that watched three up and understand go over their heads before their strike ran on to score each time. Time may have corrupted my memory slightly in relation to our defensive frailties. I do recall Albion fans backing Woking towards the end and singing we want five whilst 4 - 1 down.

At least we're top of something.

**Lord Snooty** · 07-01-2022, 14:27

Maths is a bit wrong I think. If we're looking at the same one.
No place for Colchester beating the mighty Leeds Urinals from the Don Revie era?
And more recently the Cowley boys with Lincoln of the Conference knocking out Premier League Giants Burnley? Huh

4evaabaggie · 07-01-2022, 16:14

Snoots, I went via a link to the mail on line, their figures show the odds of 15.952 million to 1. Not sure how their formula works or how they came up with that result, experts from bath university did the research.

If I remember correctly it was to do with league positions, the fact we scored first and led at half time but the odds do seem a little high.

talkSAFT · 07-01-2022, 18:39

I don't think my old Sunday team (we're all in our 70s) v Man City could get 16m to 1, even if their star player (me) turned up with his usual hangover.

drewks · 07-01-2022, 18:58

A NEAR big FA Cup shock was this time last year in the 4th round ...
Cheltenham 1 Man City 3
.... score seems comfortable for MC but all their goals were in the last 10 minutes.

A CTFC win must've been at least 20 - 1 odds at kick off?!

Amelia Chaffinch · 07-01-2022, 19:08

Leeds losing to Hereford, Histon, Rochdale, Newport and Crawley. Take your pick. They're all good.

Salopbaggie · (This post was last modified: 07-01-2022, 20:10 by Salopbaggie.)

(07-01-2022, 13:35)4evaabaggie Wrote: No surprise to older baggies

1991 West Brom 2 Woking 4

'1991" "older Baggies'?? steady on lad Big Grin

I had been to my first match over 20 years before then, So I dread to think what that makes me, if you are older when going to a game in 1991. In fact you could have been at that game and still be comfortably under 40 Laugh

(Just kidding around, I know you meant nothing by it.)

drewks · 07-01-2022, 20:34

(07-01-2022, 19:08)Amelia Chaffinch Wrote: Leeds losing to Hereford, Histon, Rochdale, Newport and Crawley. Take your pick. They're all good.

... in fact Amelia, we all know that Leeds losing to ANYONE is good.
Always Thumb up

theo_luddite · (This post was last modified: 07-01-2022, 21:39 by theo_luddite.)

Pft - not even a minor mention of Town beating Burnalee and going on to win the cup 100 years ago. Beano/Dandy school of journalists still stealing a wage Tongue

Not that their's owt wrong with Dundee journalists mind. Whistle

Amelia Chaffinch · 07-01-2022, 21:30

(07-01-2022, 20:34)drewks Wrote:
(07-01-2022, 19:08)Amelia Chaffinch Wrote: Leeds losing to Hereford, Histon, Rochdale, Newport and Crawley. Take your pick. They're all good.

... in fact Amelia, we all know that Leeds losing to ANYONE is good.
Always

Fair point Smile