[wba_1996]

It's a fair assessment tidy!

10 wins and 8-10 draws seems just about fine to keep us up, So that leaves another 5 wins and 3-5 draws left.

When we have 17 games left to play, and 8 of those are:

Arsenal
Chelsea
Man united
Liverpool
Tottenham
Southampton
Everton (away)
Newcastle (away)

I'd say at a push all of those games are potentially write offs - maybe the odd draw. It leaves us with 9 games to get 5 wins and 1-2 draws (thats worse case we draw 2 of the above 8 and lose 6)

It just makes those games against those around us, huge. We can only afford to lose 2 out of 9 at an absolute maximum. Even if we go and draw against Tottenham, Everton, and United, it means nothing if we then go and lose to a Burnley. or Leicester.

I am averagely confident we will stay up - because there is 3 worse teams than us, but I'd hate to be a Newcastle of a few seasons ago, and think we should have enough, and end up back in the champ. 2 wins in 13 (BEFORE HULL!) needs to drastically improve, and we cannot afford for it not to soon!

One of the major benefits of TP is that none of those games will be seen as write-offs. Under Ai we would have lost them all, there is no way TP will allow the players to see those games as anything but winnable.

6 points from those games would be excellent, 4 would be acceptable.