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04-11-2015, 12:54
(This post was last modified: 04-11-2015, 12:54 by Owlkev71.)
WGC HSBC Championship
Jordan Speith 8/1
Dustin Johnson 16/1
Patrick Reed 28/1
Charl Schwartzel 50/1
Andy Sullivan 100/1
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WGC - HSBC Championship
Most of the top players in the world are here (Jason Day is the notable exception) with both Fed Ex points and Race to Dubai points on offer. Rory McIlroy & Jordan Speith dominate the market which means that there is plenty of value to be had in opposing these two this week. They have contrasting form here. McIlroy has four consecutive top ten finishes but I couldn't back him at 6/1 after watching him last week while Speith hasn't been in contention in two attempts here.
The event is being played on the Sheshan International Course which has been used for this event for several years. A look at the most recent winners (Bubba Watson & Dustin Johnson) shows that big hitters tend to do well here. It has traditionally taken a score of better than -20 to win but they toughened up the course last year and Bubba won with -11. I expect a similar winning score this year.
Quality players tend to come through here with the five of the last six winners here being previous major winners.
Martin Kaymer 40/1
Kaymer won here four years ago and has finished top ten in the last two years. Hasn't played for a month so form is unknown but has twice won after having a month off so happy to go with him at this price.
Louis Oosthuizen 40/1
Oost has six consecutive Top 20 finishes on this course so I expect his to be in contention. Second place in two majors suggest that he should be a lot shorter than this price.
Justin Thomas 30/1
Has driving distance on a par with the best so this course should suit him far better than Kuala Lumpur last week, where he was the best player by a distance. The opposition will be tougher this week but Thomas could be a multiple winner this season.
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66/1
Cannot help but be impressed by this guys game. Not the prettiest swing on tour but he always seems to be in contention. He has a couple of wins this season in the Shenzhen International and the Saltaire Energy Paul Lawrie Match Play but it is his last three performances that command respect - 4th in the Alfred Dunhill, Tied 5th in the British Masters & Third in the Turkish Airlines Open last week. This course is similar to the one in Turkey so despite the higher class field, I have big hopes.
Thorbjorn Olesen 125/1
A bit of a punt but he won the Alfred Dunhill last month, finished 5th in the Czech Masters and 2nd in the Mauritius Open. Add in that he finished 6th here last year, he could be good value at this price.
Good Luck!
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Brandon Grace leads the way after Round One on -9. A mixed opening round for our players with Olesen one shot behind our closest player.
Martin Kaymer 40/1 -3 Tied 31st
Louis Oosthuizen 40/1 -4 Tied 16th
Justin Thomas 30/1 Level Tied 60th
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66/1 -3 Tied 31st
Thorbjorn Olesen 125/1 -8 Tied 2nd
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05-11-2015, 12:15
(This post was last modified: 05-11-2015, 12:27 by Owlkev71.)
WGC HSBC Championship
Jordan Speith 8/1 T16
Dustin Johnson 16/1 T5
Patrick Reed 28/1 T5
Charl Schwartzel 50/1 T16
Andy Sullivan 100/1 T42
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Sanderson Farms Championship
Our three players have done well and are all well placed after Round One.
Kevin Streelman 33/1 -4 Tied 23rd
Graham DeLaet 40/1 -6 Tied 6th
Dawie van der Walt 125/1 -5 Tied 11th
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WGC - HSBC Championship
Brilliant second rounds by Kevin Kisner & Russell Knox have put them clear at the top of the leader board with the rest hoping for a collapse from the two leaders or just playing for places. Dustin Johnson is best placed of the big names on -6 but others have faired less well with Fowler -4, McIlroy -4, Speith -4, Lowry +5 & Scott +7.
Our guys are doing ok but appear to be fighting for places unless the leaders fall away badly.
Martin Kaymer 40/1 -4 Tied 27th
Louis Oosthuizen 40/1 -7 Tied 9th
Justin Thomas 30/1 -3 Tied 37th
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66/1 -5 Tied 19th
Thorbjorn Olesen 125/1 -6 Tied 13th
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WGC HSBC Championship
Jordan Speith 8/1 T27
Dustin Johnson 16/1 T6
Patrick Reed 28/1 T4
Charl Schwartzel 50/1 T27
Andy Sullivan 100/1 T53
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Football League Bets
Just two bets this week with no L1 & L2 fixtures.
Nottm Fo v Derby Co (Friday)
I am going for a small bet on the number of cards in this match. This fixture has a reputation for producing a red card so the bookies have set the line at 4.5 cards. This would have gone over 4 times & under 3 times on Forest home matches this season and over 3 times & under 4 times on Derby away matches. However, one factor makes me lean towards the Unders - referee Simon Hooper. In 16 matches this season, he has only issued 37 cards, an average under 2.5 & under would have won in 13 of those 16 matches and all of his last 7. It is quite possible that it will kick off but I am betting One Point on Under 4.5 Cards at 11/10.
Rotherham v Ipswich
I like low corners here but only just. The Millers last six home matches have had 5-8-9-7-12-2 corners while the Tractor Boys have had 7-5-8-13-6-12 on their travels. Bet One Point on Under 10 Corners (DNB) at 1.975
Correct Scores
Brighton v MK Dons 1-0 2-1
Cardiff v Reading 1-0 1-1
Charlton v Sheff Wed 0-2 0-3
Huddersfield v Leeds 1-1 1-2
Hull v Middlesbrough 1-0 2-0
Rotherham v Ipswich 1-1 1-2
Good Luck!
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Just arrived in the big city & turned internet on to check the bookings & then i noticed Forest had won.
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