15-11-2022, 01:28
For what it's worth, I don't keep this information but, if I get bored at work this week, I might go back and take a look. I do know the impact on those that play the gamball every week and the numbers don't look pretty.
A couple of years ago I did look at the likely impact of playing/not playing the gamball based on an equal probability of each game being a home win/away win/draw - in other words the gamball being an absolute random guess. At that time it was pretty obvious that the best policy was not to play it but after that we have adjusted the points allocation so it's no longer so skewed. In fact, given the considerable ability of our participants to correctly predict results, I would now expect the gamball to provide a positive impact.
Or, looking at the season so far, I could be wrong about the ability part.
A couple of years ago I did look at the likely impact of playing/not playing the gamball based on an equal probability of each game being a home win/away win/draw - in other words the gamball being an absolute random guess. At that time it was pretty obvious that the best policy was not to play it but after that we have adjusted the points allocation so it's no longer so skewed. In fact, given the considerable ability of our participants to correctly predict results, I would now expect the gamball to provide a positive impact.
Or, looking at the season so far, I could be wrong about the ability part.
They say that ignorance is bliss - no wonder so many people are happy.