21-02-2017, 13:11
Just thought I'd add that statistics show a change of manager tends to bring a team 2.5 pts the following game, but that the honeymoon period ends after 12 games and the tendency is for the team to deteriorate further. In 2009-10 for instance all three teams relegated from the Premier League had changed their manager.
Evidence from other sports tends to suggest a downturn in team's fortunes is followed by an upturn regardless of whether the managers changes or not.
Richard Bevan from the League Managers Association said, "Verifiable data has shown that the gains from changing managers are marginal, if indeed there are any at all."
You only have to give this a moment's thought to realise there are so many variable factors within a football club that coming up with a one-shot solution like changing the manager is bound to be a less than adequate solution. Both Wycombe and Exeter have risen from relegation fodder in Division 2 to promotion hopefuls, permanent losers to a run of wins, by not-changing their manager and not injecting loads of cash they didn't have ........ But that doesn't prove that NOT changing your manager is the answer either. Ask what things the unchanged manager decided to change; how many of the variables were within his control .....
Evidence from other sports tends to suggest a downturn in team's fortunes is followed by an upturn regardless of whether the managers changes or not.
Richard Bevan from the League Managers Association said, "Verifiable data has shown that the gains from changing managers are marginal, if indeed there are any at all."
You only have to give this a moment's thought to realise there are so many variable factors within a football club that coming up with a one-shot solution like changing the manager is bound to be a less than adequate solution. Both Wycombe and Exeter have risen from relegation fodder in Division 2 to promotion hopefuls, permanent losers to a run of wins, by not-changing their manager and not injecting loads of cash they didn't have ........ But that doesn't prove that NOT changing your manager is the answer either. Ask what things the unchanged manager decided to change; how many of the variables were within his control .....