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+----- Thread: The gambling/betting thread (/showthread.php?tid=1239)
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 18-10-2016
Portugal Masters
Alex Noren is the 8/1 favourite here with Thomas Pieters at 9/1. Noren is in great form but has tended to dip slightly after a win so I am going for Pieters here plus a few decent each way bets.
It will probably take -20 to win here and Scrambling, GIR & Putting are the main qualities required so we know what kind of players we need to get into contention. Here are my team.
Thomas Pieters 9/1
David Horsey 40/1
Stephen Gallacher 50/1
Joakim Lagergren 66/1
Alejandro Canizares 80/1
Good Luck!
Football League Bets
Six small bets for this midweek's football. All matches are TWO POINT bets.
Brighton v Wolves
This should be a low corners match. The Seagulls last five home corners have been 8-9-8-6-7 while four of Wolves six away matches have failed to reach the 10.5 Corner line. Bet at 8/11.
QPR v Bristol C
Rangers home corner totals have been 15-15-12-10-12 and City's away corner totals have been 15-15-16-11-12-4 so a high total looks good value. Bet Over 10.5 Corners at 2.00
Cardiff v Sheff Wed
This looks a likely low corners game. City's home corners have been 4-8-7-16-7-4 while Wednesday's away corners have been 8-6-4-13. Bet Under 10.5 Corners at 8/11
Colchester v Morecambe
This should be a high scoring game. The U's recent home matches have totalled 5-5-5-3-0 goals while the Shrimpers away matches have totalled 5-3-4-3 goals. Bet on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.88.
Exeter v Cambridge
This should be a low scoring game with the Grecians home totals being 1-1-2-2-0 while the U's away goal totals have been 2-1-0-3-3-2. Bet on Under 2.5 Goals at 1.90
Portsmouth v Notts Co
This should be a high scoring game with Pompey's last four home games having 3-6-6-3 goals while the Magpie's last five away matches had 3-4-5-2-4 goals. Bet on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.98
Correct Score Bets
Ipswich v Burton 0-0 1-0
Leeds v Wigan 1-0 2-1
Reading v Aston Villa 1-0 1-1
Cardiff v Sheff Wed 0-1 0-2
Preston v Huddersfield 1-0 2-0
Peterboro v Northampton 1-1 2-1
Good Luck!
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 20-10-2016
CIMB Classic (Day One)
Derek Fathauer, Keegan Bradley & Justin Thomas lead by one on -8. Other notables include Casey -7, Lahiri -6, Garcia -5, Reed -4, Matsuyama -3, Cabrera Bello -3, Grace -2, Scott -2, Poulter -1.
Ryan Moore 16/1 -1 Tied 44th
Justin Thomas 18/1 -8 Tied 1st
Kevin Na 22/1 -2 Tied 26th
Gary Woodland 33/1 Par Tied 57th
Danny Lee 175/1 Par Tied 57th
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 20-10-2016
Portugal Masters (Day One)
Marc Warren leads by one on -8 from a closely packed field. Other notables include Harrington -5, Noren -4, Sullivan -4,
Thomas Pieters 9/1 -2 Tied 52nd
David Horsey 40/1 -3 Tied 39th
Stephen Gallacher 50/1 -4 Tied 22nd
Joakim Lagergren 66/1 -5 Tied 12th
Alejandro Canizares 80/1 -6 Tied 7th
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 21-10-2016
CIMB Classic (Day Two)
Justin Thomas leads by two on -14 from Lahiri. Other notables include Knox -11, Matsuyama -11, Leishman -10, Bradley -8, Cabrera Bello -8, Casey -7, Scott -5, Garcia -5, Poulter -4, Reed -3, Els -2, Grace -2,
Ryan Moore 16/1 -8 Tied 8th
Justin Thomas 18/1 -14 1st
Kevin Na 22/1 -5 Tied 24th
Gary Woodland 33/1 -1 Tied 54th
Danny Lee 175/1 +5 Tied 75th
Thomas looks set to win with Moore in contention for a place.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 21-10-2016
Portugal Masters (Day Two)
Marc Warren & Andy Sullivan lead by one on -14 from Farhbring & Harrington. Other notables include Lipsky -12, Noren -8, Fleetwood -7, Colsaert -5,
Thomas Pieters 9/1 -4 Tied 65th
David Horsey 40/1 -7 Tied 37th
Stephen Gallacher 50/1 -7 Tied 37th
Joakim Lagergren 66/1 -10 Tied 10th
Alejandro Canizares 80/1 -7 Tied 37th
Lagergren is well placed to get a place but I feel that Warren & Sullivan might go on a birdie fest over the weekend and it might take -24 to win this unless the weather intervenes, which it might do tomorrow.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 22-10-2016
Football League Bets
Norwich v Preston - TWO Points on Over 2.5 Goals at 2.10
Rotherham v Reading - TWO Points on Over 10.5 Corners at 4/5
Wigan v Brighton - TWO Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 8/11
Colchester v Morecambe - TWO Points on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.88
Exeter v Vambridge - TWO Points on Under 2.5 Goals at 1.90
Portsmouth v Notts Co - TWO Points on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.98
Correct Score Bets
Gillingham v Charlton 1-1 1-2
Port Vale v Oxford 2-0 2-1
Crawley v Accrington 1-0 1-1
Newport v Plymouth 0-2 1-2
CIMB Classic (Day Three)
Lahiri leads by four shots on -19 from Thomas & Knox. Other notables include Hahn -14, Matsuyama -14, Bradley -12, Scott -11, Grillo -11, Cabrera Bello -11, Leishman -11, Garcia -10, Hend -10, Reed -9, Casey -9, Poulter -7, Grace -5, Els Par,
Ryan Moore 16/1 -10 Tied 17th
Justin Thomas 18/1 -15 Tied 2nd
Kevin Na 22/1 -6 Tied 40th
Gary Woodland 33/1 -2 Tied 57th
Danny Lee 175/1 -1 Tied 60th
Four consecutive bogeys around the turn pushed Thomas back into the pack today although he did finish better to show he might compete tomorrow. Lahiri should win but it will be close after that.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 22-10-2016
Portugal Masters (Day Three)
Anders Hansen & Mikko Korhonen lead by one on -18 from Harrington. Other notables include Sullivan -16, Warren -15, Lipsky -14, Colsaerts -13, Noren -11, Fleetwood -10,
Thomas Pieters 9/1 -7 Tied 60th
David Horsey 40/1 -12 Tied 18th
Stephen Gallacher 50/1 -14 Tied 8th
Joakim Lagergren 66/1 -13 Tied 13th
Alejandro Canizares 80/1 -11 Tied 24th
Our guys could still get us a place or two or even a win.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 23-10-2016
CIMB Classic (Day Four)
BOOM!!!
An Eight under par final round by Justin Thomas saw him take this title for the second consecutive year and clinch us an 18/1 Win.
Lahiri could only hit par as he saw his four shot lead evaporate and Thomas take the trophy on -23 by three shots from Matsuyama. Other notables included Lahiri -19, Leishman -17, Bradley -16, Hend -15, Hahn -14, Cabrera Bello -13, Scott -13, Piercy -13, Knox -13, Poulter -12, Moore -12, Garcia -12, Grillo -12, Casey -11, Grace -8, Reed -4, Els +4, Choi +5
Ryan Moore 16/1 -12 Tied 17th
Justin Thomas 18/1 -23 WINNER!!!
Kevin Na 22/1 -9 Tied 29th
Gary Woodland 33/1 -3 Tied 56th
Danny Lee 175/1 -4 Tied 51st
Let's hope for more success in Portugal this afternoon.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 23-10-2016
Portugal Masters (Day Four)
A brilliant win for Padraig Harrington by one shot on -23 from Andy Sullivan. Other notables include Hansen -21, Lipsky -20, Warren -17, Fleetwood -12, Noren -12, Colsaerts -10. Our guys gave us a good run but faded today. Still very entertaining.
Thomas Pieters 9/1 -13 Tied 31st
David Horsey 40/1 -15 Tied 22nd
Stephen Gallacher 50/1 -17 Tied 12th
Joakim Lagergren 66/1 -16 Tied 17th
Alejandro Canizares 80/1 -13 Tied 31th
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 25-10-2016
Sanderson Farms Championships
A weakened field here with the big hitters at the WGC. Chris Kirk heads the betting at 14/1 with Kizzire the only other player under 30/1. My plan is to go with Kizzire, the experience of Toms and a couple of long shots who are ready to step it up to the next level.
Patton Kizzire 18/1
David Toms 40/1
Martin Flores 66/1
Whee Kim 66/1
WGC HSBC Championships
Rory McIlroy is 11/2 favourite just ahead of Dustin Johnson at 6/1 with the field at 22/1, including Casey, Matsuyama, Stenson, Scott, Thomas, Garcia & Reed.
Not going to be going too big this week so looking for players with a good course record and / or in good form at a variety of prices.
Russell Knox 40/1
Alex Noren 55/1
Alexander Levy 110/1
Good Luck!