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+----- Thread: The gambling/betting thread (/showthread.php?tid=1239)
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 07-02-2016
Dubai Desert Classic (Day Three)
Thorbjorn Olesen 40/1 -10 - Tied 9th
Rafa Carera Bello 35/1 -15 2nd
Alex Noren 75/1 -6 Tied 28th
Willett leads RCB by one shot on -16 with Sullivan a further shot behind. Willett has been outstanding on the last two rounds and it will probably take something outstanding to beat him today.
Phoenix Open (Day Three)
All our guys have done pretty well but Danny Lee has it for me with a three shot lead on -13 ahead of Matsuyama & Fowler. This course makes for spectacular viewing with the 16th like a bear pit.
JB Holmes 28/1 -5 Tied 17th
Kevin Na 33/1 -6 Tied 10th
Ryan Palmer 33/1 -2 Tied 39th
Martin Laird 66/1 -3 Tied 31st
RE: The gambling/betting thread - Owlkev71 - 07-02-2016
Woodland has an outside chance of getting a place.
Hopefully Willett can bring home the bacon but theres a few who cud win.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - Owlkev71 - 07-02-2016
DANNY WILLETT WINS IT ON THE 18TH.........BOOM!!!!!!
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 07-02-2016
Dubai Desert Classic (Day Three)
Thorbjorn Olesen 40/1 -14 - Tied 8th
Rafa Carera Bello 35/1 -18 Tied 2nd
Alex Noren 75/1 -4 Tied 50th
With even luck, RCB would have won this as he had at least half a dozen birdie putts miss by inches. Willett was hanging on but won it with a magnificent putt on the final green to avoid a Playoff with RCB & Sullivan.
Still we were in profit after the first round & a full place for RCB at 35/4 covers all our losing bets.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 08-02-2016
Phoenix Open (Day Four)
Matsuyama beat Fowler in a Playoff with Harris English two shots back. Our guys all performed pretty well with Holmes getting a part place.
JB Holmes 28/1 -9 Tied 6th
Kevin Na 33/1 -5 Tied 24th
Ryan Palmer 33/1 -5 Tied 24th
Martin Laird 66/1 -2 Tied 41st
RE: The gambling/betting thread - Owlkev71 - 11-02-2016
Tshwane Open
Brandon Stone 33/1
Fabrizio Zanotti 50/1
Pebble Beach Pro Am
Jimmy Walker 18/1
Patrick Reed 33/1
Brooks Koepka 35/1
Jason Dufner 66/1
Hunter Mahan 100/1
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 11-02-2016
Another good week last week with the FRL (Alex Noren) and Runner Up (Rafa Cabrera Bello) in Dubai and a part place (JB Holmes) in Phoenix Not as good as the prevoius weeks but we can't get both winners every week.
Two contrasting events this week with a low quality field this side of the pond but a top quality field in the PGA Event.
Tshwane Open
This event is being held for only the second time at the Pretoria Country Club so we have limited course form to go on. The betting is headed by Schwartzel & Coetzee with the rest at 20/1+. This is a short course where Accuracy & GIR are important.
George Coetzee 15/2 is the most obvious winner here. He first joined this club as a ten year old & learned his golf here. He won last year and is coming back to form with a 13th & 7th on his recent starts.
Haydn Porteous 28/1 has impressed me this year. Obviously caught the eye winning the Joburg Open last month but showed it was no fluke with an 8th last week in a strong field in Dubai. In this field, he should be close.
Christiaan Bezuidenhuit 40/1 owes us nothing after his second at 250/1 last month but think he could give us a good run here in a weak field.
Think FRL bets on Porteous 33/1 & Bez 50/1 are worth it as both have good early Day One draws.
Couldn't post up yesterday - site down!
AT & T Pebble Beach National
This is the 75th edition of this tournament which has a attracted a high quality field led by Speith, Dustin, Day, Snedeker, Bubba & Rose. It is staged over three courses with a 54 hole cut with the final day on the Pebble Beach course. GIR & Putting appear to be the key stats here with driving length & accuracy counting for little.
Speith is a worthy favourite but there is little value at 5/1 although I have e/w doubled him with Coetzee.
Jimmy Walker 18/1 Walker won this event two years ago so likes the course. His last four finishes are 8th, 10th, 13th & 4th so he is in good nick & I feel he is ready to win one.
Phil Mickelson 22/1 Never rule Lefty out on this course or this event - he loves it here & has won when totally out of form, which he isn't with a 3rd & 11th from three starts this season.
Bryce Molder 100/1 A bit of a hot & cold player but has performed well here before and off the back of a 6th place last week could give value at 100/1.
Aaron Baddeley 200/1 This is a bit of a punt but Baddeley has proved he can win and at 200/1 then he stands out as value. Got an 8th two weeks ago at the Farmers and a small bet here is in order.
Good Luck!
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 11-02-2016
Tshwane Open (Day One)
A mixed day for our players with Coetzee in good shape but our other two both need improvement after poor starts.
George Coetzee 15/2 -2 Tied 6th
Haydn Porteous 28/1 Par Tied 23rd
Christiaan Bezuidenhuit 40/1 +4 Tied 103rd
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 12-02-2016
AT & T Pebble Beach National (Day One)
Chez Reavie leads the way on -8 but he has played on the easiest course, Monterey Peninsula so judging the relative merits of scores is tricky until after Saturday's cut. Big names include Rose (-6), Dustin (-2), Speith (-1), Poulter (-1), Day (-1), Reed (Level), Lowry (Level), Snedeker (Level), Bubba (+1),
Our guys are all still in contention with three still to play the easiest course.
Jimmy Walker 18/1 Par Tied 82nd
Phil Mickelson 22/1 -4 Tied 16th
Bryce Molder 100/1 Par Tied 82nd
Aaron Baddeley 200/1 -3 Tied 29th
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 12-02-2016
Tshwane Open (Day Two)
A mixed day for our players with Porteous in good shape, Coetzee in need of improvement after throwing away shots today while Bez missed the cut.
George Coetzee 15/2 Par Tied 22nd
Haydn Porteous 28/1 -4 Tied 3rd
Christiaan Bezuidenhuit 40/1 +8 Tied 122nd