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+----- Thread: The gambling/betting thread (/showthread.php?tid=1239)
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 14-01-2016
(14-01-2016, 14:00)Owlkev71 Wrote: I put the bet on at around 8:30 so he might have already been on course.
Just checked the leaderboard, he finished at -6 and currently shares the lead, but still a long way to go.
Williams is 66/1 now despite being just one shot off the lead. He was 400/1 before teeing off.
Joburg Open (Round One)
Christiaan Bezoudenhout - 50/1 -5 Tied 8th
Trevor Fisher Junior 28/1 -4 Tied 16th
Brandon Stone 28/1 -2 Tied 38th
Dean Burmester 40/1 -1 Tied 69th
Paul Dunne 80/1 -1 Tied 69th
Looks like all five players should beat the cut and all could contend for the top five on Sunday
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 15-01-2016
Sony Open (Round One)
Graeme McDowell 45/1 Level Tied 52nd
Peter Malnati 80/1 -1 Tied 34th
Need improvement tomorrow.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - Owlkev71 - 15-01-2016
Sony Open
Kevin Kisner T1 -7
Tony Finau T9 -5
Ryo Ishikawa T32 -3
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 15-01-2016
Joburg Open (Round Two)
Christiaan Bezoudenhout - 50/1 -6 Tied 22nd
Trevor Fisher Junior 28/1 -6 Tied 22nd
Brandon Stone 28/1 -4 Tied 42nd
Dean Burmester 40/1 -5 Tied 31st
Paul Dunne 80/1 -9 Tied 8th
The run away leader is on -14 but -11 for 2nd is catchable for all our players.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 15-01-2016
Football League Bets
A few decent Bets for this weekend:
Sheff Wed v Leeds - Two Points on Under 10 Corners (DNB) at Evens
Sheff Wed v Leeds - 0.5 Point Forestieri First Goal Scorer at 6/1
Blackburn v Brighton - Two Points Under 2.5 Goals at 5/8
Huddersfield v Fulham - Four Points Under 10.5 Corers at 1.90
Wolves v Cardiff - Four Points on Under 10 Corners (DNB) at 1.90
Bradford v Oldham - Two Points on Under 2.5 Goals at 1.98
Doncaster v Gillingham - Two Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.90
Swindon v Crewe - Two Points on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.79
Accrington v Portsmouth - Four Points on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.97
Dagenham v Northampton - Two Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 4/5
Morecambe v Yeovil - Two Points on Under 10 Corners (DNB) at 1.85
Correct Scores
Blackburn v Brighton 0-0 1-1
Hull v Charlton 2-0 3-0
Plymouth v Stevenage 2-1 1-2
Morecambe v Yeovil 1-0 1-1
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 16-01-2016
Sony Open (Round Two)
Graeme McDowell 45/1 +3 Missed Cut
Peter Malnati 80/1 -4 Tied 47th
I was so convinced that this was the week for McDowell that I ignored my long list. Four of those players (Snedeker, Kisner, Donald & O'Hair are sat in the top seven now, all within three shots of the lead. Let's hope we can win in Joburg.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 16-01-2016
Joburg Open (Round Three)
Christiaan Bezoudenhout - 50/1 -6 Tied 33rd
Trevor Fisher Junior 28/1 -9 Tied 15th
Brandon Stone 28/1 -7 Tied 24th
Dean Burmester 40/1 -8 Tied 18th
Paul Dunne 80/1 -13 Tied 4th
Dunne is two shots off the lead & could take this down and all five of our players could get a place.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 17-01-2016
Joburg Open (Result)
Christiaan Bezoudenhout - 50/1 -9 Tied 22nd
Trevor Fisher Junior 28/1 -11 Tied 13th
Brandon Stone 28/1 -8 Tied 28th
Dean Burmester 40/1 -7 Tied 31st
Paul Dunne 80/1 -13 9th
Good run but nothing this week.
Football League Bets
A few decent Bets for this weekend:
Sheff Wed v Leeds - Two Points on Under 10 Corners (DNB) at Evens - WON
Sheff Wed v Leeds - 0.5 Point Forestieri First Goal Scorer at 6/1 - Lost
Blackburn v Brighton - Two Points Under 2.5 Goals at 5/8 - WON
Huddersfield v Fulham - Four Points Under 10.5 Corers at 1.90 - WON
Wolves v Cardiff - Four Points on Under 10 Corners (DNB) at 1.90 - Lost
Bradford v Oldham - Two Points on Under 2.5 Goals at 1.98 - WON
Doncaster v Gillingham - Two Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.90 - WON
Swindon v Crewe - Two Points on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.79 - WON
Accrington v Portsmouth - Four Points on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.97 - Potponed
Dagenham v Northampton - Two Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 4/5 - Lost
Morecambe v Yeovil - Two Points on Under 10 Corners (DNB) at 1.85 - lost
Made a Four Point profit this week.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 19-01-2016
Career Builder Challenge
This is a tricky event in terms of courses with three courses being used, two of them new to the circuit. It is reasonable strength field with the leading players Reed, Kuchar & Zach Johnson.
Reed is a pretty good favourite here. He comes into the tournament in good form but it is hard to get too interested at 10/1 so again I am looking for bigger prices that offer some value.
Bill Haas 28/1 Picking a winner here is tricky but Haas ticks the boxes that we think need ticking. He won this event last year, was 6th in 2014, runner up in 2011 & winner in 2010. Haas' record shows that he performs particularly well in the first two months of the year with three of his six PGA titles coming in these months.
Charley Hoffman 45/1 He is a consistent performer now and showed his liking for this event finishing second last year. Should give a good run at a decent price.
Jamie Lovemark 100/1 A promising player with a top twenty finish at the US Open last season. He is a native Californian so should be at home here and has finished top ten in his last two PGA events, the RSM Classic & Sony Open. His last eight rounds have all been in the 60s and he finished 65-65 last week. Not the finished article but at 100/1 is great value.
Robert Garrigus 200/1 A bit of a punt. He has a 2nd & a 6th on two of the courses being used this week so should feel at home. He is 200/1 and has a shot.
Abu Dhabi Open
Big prize money here and it has attracted a top quality field with McIlroy, Speith, Fowler & Stenson leading the betting markets.
There is enough form on this course to know what we are looking for here. As I see it, we need good all round players with GIR, Putting & Driving Distance all important. While top players have done well here, it is interesting to note that the last four winners started at 150/1 125/1 66/1 & 150/1.
McIlroy looks the most likely winner. While he has never won here, he has six top five finishes but it is hard to get excited at 4/1. This means I will be looking for a few outsiders this week to pull off a win.
Thomas Pieters 55/1 Regular followers will know that Pieters made us plenty last season with wins at 80/1 & 50/1 and I want to be with him here. He is a long driver and his putting is getting better & better. He finished 4th here a year ago & is a much better player now so well worth a dabble at this price.
Joost Luiten 70/1 Looking for a player with a liking for the course, Luiten fits the bill as he has finished 6th here on his last two visits. Looks like decent value.
Bryson De Chambeau 150/1 Caught my eye when second is the Aussie Masters a few weeks ago. Definately has the potential to be a top player and with recent winners coming at this price, looks like one to be with this week.
Martin Kaymer has the best record on this course but since throwing away a ten shot lead here a year ago, he hasn't been the same player. For those who believe in redemption, he is value at 20/1 but i think I will settle for the three above.
Also worth noting that SKY Bet are offering 1/4 for 6 places on this event at decent prices.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 20-01-2016
Have bet big on McIlroy for a Top Five finish at Evens. He is so strong on this course that I cannot see him failing to be very close here. I think he will win it but someone might beat him which is why I prefer the lower variance bet rather than backing to win or each way.