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+----- Thread: The gambling/betting thread (/showthread.php?tid=1239)
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 10-09-2015
(09-09-2015, 23:01)Owlkev71 Wrote: KLM Dutch Open:
Eddie Pepperell 28/1
Tommy Fleetwood 28/1
Rikard Karlberg 66/1
Cannot argue with any of those three as they are all players that I have gone with in recent weeks. Pepperill has shown a previous liking for this course, finishing 4th last year. In many ways, it plays like a links course, which should suit Fleetwood.
In the tennis, Wawrinka was in brilliant form, beating Murray's conqueror, Kevin Anderson 6-4 6-4 6-0. We are now one match away from a winning place bet with Roger Federer standing in our way. He was imperious yesterday, beating Gasquet 6-3 6-3 6-1. Wawrinka's record against Federer isn't good but in his current form, it is going to be one hell of a match.
Petra Kvitova threw it away, losing 6-4 4-6 2-6 against Pennetta - too many unforced errors. A real shame as the draw was opening up for her.
Going to add Tommy Fleetwood to my list. Got 35/1 with Bet365.
Think he is playing with Pieters this afternoon so should be good to watch the contrast in styles.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - consilio - 10-09-2015
Shocking start for Fleetwood. How's your others going on?
RE: The gambling/betting thread - Owlkev71 - 10-09-2015
Pepperell -3 thru 12
Karlberg -1
Fleetwood +2 thru 15
MS Bets
Luiten -7
Horsey -7
Jiminez -2 thru 15
Pieters -2 thru 16
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 10-09-2015
More than happy with Luiten & Horsey, Tied 4th on -7, two off the lead. Clearly the morning players had the best of the weather so it could turn around tomorrow if the wind gets up in the afternoon. Pieters did well to get to -2 while the wind was up but Jimenez has a lot to do, finishing on level par.
Have been backing Serena Williams to win her matches 2-1 recently and am on a profit for the US Open with this as the price is usually around 3/1. She is 5/1 for a 2-1 against Vinci in her semi final with Paddy Power which looks like value to me as I would price it up at around half those odds at 5/2.
Three bets for this weekend, all small as I wouldn't recommend getting up to full stakes this early in the season.
Leeds v Brentford
This looks like a decent bet for low corners. All of Leeds' last eight home matches have failed to reach 10.5 corners at an average of 8.4 per match. Seven of Brentford's last eight on the road have also fallen short of this line at an average of 9.0. Bet on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.95 (Bet365)
Oldham v Peterboro
This looks like a high corners match unless a change of management at Peterboro changes the way they play. Bet365 have set their line at 11 corners here. This bet would have won four times, pushed twice & lost once in the Latics last seven home matches at an average of 12.9 corners per match. It would have won seven times & pushed twice in United's last nine away matches at an average of 13.1. Bet on Over 11 Corners (DNB) at 1.90 (Bet365).
Cambridge v Leyton Orient
This looks like a good match for goals. The U's last six home matches have all gone over 2.5 goals while all of the O's away matches this season have had four goals. This makes the available odds of 1.95 on Betfair pretty attractive for Over 2.5 Goals.
Good Luck!
RE: The gambling/betting thread - Southeyowl - 10-09-2015
Footy tips on!
Golf tips looking good so far!
Just need Federer to have an off day!
RE: The gambling/betting thread - consilio - 10-09-2015
What does that Asian corners thing mean ???
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 10-09-2015
(10-09-2015, 22:38)consilio Wrote: What does that Asian corners thing mean ???
There are only two outcomes. You either bet over or under. There is a possible "no bet" or "push" option if the line is a possible outcome, say 11 corners. If there are exactly 11 corners then you get your money back.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 11-09-2015
Joost Luiten 20/1 -6 Tied 19th
David Horsey 50/1 -11 Tied 2nd
Miguel Angel Jininez 50/1 Missed Cut
Thomas Pieters 75/1 -6 Tied 19th
Happy enough with that. Luiten had a terrible second round but he could easily shoot 61 tomorrow. Pieters had the worst of the weather on Day One but has put himself in contention. Horsey has shown the consistency of recent weeks & has every chance of being in contention on Sunday afternoon.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - madsteve - 11-09-2015
Everything looked rosy when Serena Williams lost the second set to Roberta Vinci for our 2-1 Serena bet.
Who the scooby do thought she would then go on and win the decider when she was 750/1 to win after the first set.
RE: The gambling/betting thread - St Charles Owl - 11-09-2015
Serena losing after winning the first set has to be one of the shocks of the year!!!